This week the Commission on AIDS in Asia released its prediction that, without additional action, AIDS deaths in Asia could rise from 440,000 each year currently to nearly 500,000 annually by 2020, and total infections could double from 4.9 million to 10 million.
Our friend Prof Jim Chin, author of the AIDS pandemic: the collision of epidemiology and political correctness, has some stern words about this report on his website. Prof Chin is particularly aggrieved by the report's claim that "regionally, AIDS is estimated to be the single largest cause of death and morbidity due to disease for adults age 15-44 years." In reality, in Asia, AIDS wasn't even in the top 10 killers in 2001.
By the way, Prof Chin is discussing his new CFD paper at a lunchtime event on 22nd May in Geneva. Please email if you want more information.